RB · BAL

Derrick Henry

The 2026 verdictTHE BOX SCORE

Derrick HenryRB · BAL

FAIRLY PRICED

+10

Our #10 · ADP 20

Derrick Henry's ADP of 20.2 sits within a round of our #10 overall rank. The market has him about right.

Projected points230

PPR, full 2026 season

Per week13.5

projected PPR points

Our rank#10

RB6 at his position

ADP20.2

average draft pick (Sleeper)

Tier2

our positional tier

the-box-score.com/nfl · our own models, record published

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The projection is built on a 5% target share, a 61% carry share.

What's behind the projection

Target share5%share of his team's throws that go to him

Carry share61%share of his team's rushing attempts

Snap share52th pcthow often he's on the field, vs. his position

Team quality53th pcthis offense's opponent-adjusted rating

Frequently asked

Should I draft Derrick Henry in 2026 fantasy football?

Yes, at his ADP — the market has Derrick Henry about right.

What round should Derrick Henry go in 2026 fantasy drafts?

Derrick Henry goes around pick 20 — round 2 of a 12-team draft. We value him as a round-1 pick (#10 overall).

What is Derrick Henry's 2026 fantasy projection?

We project Derrick Henry for 230 PPR points in 2026 — 13.5 per week, RB6 in our rankings — updated weekly through draft season.

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Projections from our custom pipeline blended with consensus, built on nflverse data · refreshed through draft season · rounds assume a 12-team draft.